Daegon's Foresight

Can we see our future? If so, can we change the future? Daegon Lee, Master of Science in Foresight at the University of Houston We have control over our 'preferred future' We are probably wondering what my future will look like. If a bright future is promised for you, would you not put any effort into it? Or, if you see a dark future ahead of you, will you give up on any efforts and despair? Let's say you have a fragile body. Say you want to get out of this bad situation and have a healthy and strong body. If you make an effort to overcome this situation (such as exercising harder or eating better), you will be able to find health at least to some extent. However, if you do nothing, you will still be unhealthy. I just thought of our two different futures. A healthy future you, and an unhealthy future you. Of course, you may suddenly and completely unexpectedly fall ill with an incurable disease. I don't think it's out of your control that you get an incurable ...

A Crude Look At The Whole by John H. Miller Who is the author? John H. Miller holds a B.A. in Economics and a B.S. in Finance from the University of Colorado. He received his PhD in Economics from the University of Michigan in 1988. Since then, he has joined the Santa Fe Institute as a doctorial fellow and is currently Professor of Economies and Social Sciences at Carnegie Mellon University. His research fields are as follows, and we can see that his research fields are very broad. Agent-based Modeling, AI/Machine Learning, Behavior, Biology, Economics, Evolution, Finance, Psychology, Risk & Uncertainty, Social Science, Strategy/Decision Making, Complex Adaptive Social Systems (Source: Santa Fe Institute website) Why did the author write this book? As an economist, his main research field is focused on the study of economic mechanisms or finding and studying economic patterns based on the theory of complex systems. In fact, we all know that the economy is only a small fraction (or ...

What is Foresight? Daegon Lee , a member of Association of Professional Futurist, a graduate student in Master of Science in Foresight at the University of Houston Many people have never heard of the words foresight or futures studies, or even if they did, they don't know exactly what they mean. Webster's Dictionary defines foresight as 'an act or the power of foreseeing' or 'an act of looking forward'. In other words, foresight means work or action to see the future, and the result. So some of you may ask, 'Is foresight predicting the future?' or 'Are you a psychic?' Futurists for foresight are different from fortune tellers for prophecy. Foresight collects information from the past and present and uses it to create multiple future scenarios that are likely to occur through causality, logic, and rational creativity. Foresight differs from prediction, which uses magical powers inaccessible to ordinary people to ‘precise blow’ a single future. I m...

Scenario forecasting of South and North Korea facing sudden unification Daegon Lee, Master of Science in Foresight at the University of Houston 1. Introduction Korea suffered the Korean War for three years from 1950, and since then, the Korean Peninsula has been divided into South and North Korea and has existed as two de facto countries. Among them, South Korea has been pursuing continuous industrial and economic development with the help of the United Nations and the United States since the end of the war, and as of 2020, South Korea has become a developed country with per capita GDP reaching $31,000.[1] On the other hand, North Korea has built a socialist state system with the help of the former Soviet Union and China, but now North Korea is a one-man dictatorship centered on Kim Jong-un. In 2020, North Korea's GDP per capita is only $1,700,[2] which is going through a very difficult time economically because North Korea has thoroughly shut off the entire country from the outsid...

The Social Seeds of Sharing Economy and Subscription Economy Do you prefer to buy record CDs or LPs from Tower Records near your home to listen to the latest music at home? If so, you are most likely an older generation. Do you search for artists on Spotify and stream music to listen to the latest albums from your favorite musicians? If so, you are most likely a young generation living in 2021. [1] Just over a decade ago, buying and owning almost all goods was the only way to use them. But over time, we started to pay more for things to ‘use’ than to ‘own’. Now, the center of the market is moving rapidly from an ownership-based economy to a subscription and sharing-based economy. Many people think that the ideas of genius entrepreneurs with some creative business acumen played a decisive role in creating this new market. In this essay, however, I would like to argue that the recent emergence of the expanding subscription and sharing economy is the inevitable result of a new generation ...

Bringing Darwin into the social sciences and the humanities:  cultural evolution and its philosophical implications  by Stefaan Blancke & Gilles Denis Original Source:  https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s40656-018-0195-0   What is the main point(s) of the reading/theory? In this paper, the author deals with the fact that various schools have recently referred to the idea of biological evolution to advance the study of human cultural evolution. Indeed, the authors say that it is worth harnessing the biological evolution of organisms for us to understand human cultural evolution and derive valuable insights. However, the author explains throughout this paper that there is a lot of room for discussion and research in various academic/scientific fields about how to graft the thought of biological evolution into the thought of cultural evolution.   When Charles Darwin published his theory of evolution in the 19th century, some scholars thought tha...